If there was ever one, clear sign that this just may not be the Cowboys day, this was it. WR Malik Turner blocks punt, last touched by Dallas, Broncos ball.Ĭowboys WP: 27% -> 20% WPA: -7% EPA: +3.1 Patrick finished the game with four catches for 85 yards and 1 TD. Unfortunately, the Cowboys would be under 50% win probability for the remainder of the game. It also marked the first time in the game that the Cowboys win percentage fell below 50%. The Broncos offensive line did a nice job of creating a clean pocket for Bridgewater to step into and Patrick was able to get just enough separation against CB Trevon Diggs. QB Teddy Bridgewater found Tim Patrick for a touchdown pass. Leading 6-0 with 12:21 to go in the 2nd quarter, the Broncos had a 1st and 10 on the Cowboys 44-yard line. QB Bridgewater to WR Patrick for a TD.Ĭowboys WP: 53% -> 48% WPA: -5% EPA: +4.1 Pollard finished the day with 132 total yards, 89 of those coming in the return game. Pollard caught the ball in the end zone and broke two tackles while fighting with Broncos defender for additional yardage as he made his way past midfield. The Cowboys got off to a great start to the game with Pollard returning the opening kickoff 54 yards to set the offense up with starting field position on the Denver 47. Play 1: 1st Q- 15:00, Tony Pollard returns the opening kickoff 54 to the DEN 47 Therefore EPA measures the shift in expected points as a result of a specific play. Every down and distance has a level of expected points the likelihood a team will score on that particular drive based on that situation. EPA is a formula that takes historical data and applies it to every play to determine if it increases or decreases a team’s expected points given the outcome of that play. Here are the five biggest plays of the game using Expected Points Added (EPA) and Win Probability models from. Sometimes you’re the hammer, sometimes you’re the nail. Denver’s defense set the tone early and brought a lot of pressure against Prescott while the Broncos’ offense broke tackles and gashed the Cowboys with big plays. Those sixteen points scored by Dallas made the score appear closer than the game actually was.
A mixture of failed third and fourth-down conversions for the offense and big plays allowed by the defense added up to a bad day for Cowboys fans as the Broncos won, 30-16.
Unfortunately for Dallas, the Broncos were having none of that. On paper, this was a game that the Cowboys were favored to win easily. For the season, the Broncos were 4-4 losing four in a row before edging by the Washington Football Team with a 17-10 win. The Broncos entered the matchup with a six-game winning streak of their own, winners of six consecutive matchups with the Cowboys going back to the 1995 season. With a high-powered offense and a defense coming off of their best game of the season, the Cowboys hosted the Denver Broncos in a rare noon kickoff at AT&T Stadium. The Dallas Cowboys rode into Week 9 with a six-game winning streak and their quarterback, Dak Prescott, returning from an injured calf that held him out the prior week.
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